NFL Week 9 Picks, Upsets, Predictions
We’re riding high at SidelineMOB after an 11-2 NFL predictions record in Week 8, which included successfully nailing our upset of the week (Raiders over Steelers). We got help from a few sources – namely, the Lions winning a nail-biter over the Cowboys thanks to Calvin Johnson‘s monstrous 329 yard receiving performance – but we’ll take it how we can get it.
Week 9 features a 13-game slate, with more than a few interesting contests along the way. Rivalries abound, as the Steelers travel to New England, the Colts visit the struggling Houston Texans, and the Bears and Packers square off on Monday Night Football. Also, it’s statistically impossible for the Jacksonville Jaguars to lose this week, as they’re on a bye. As for the NFL’s other winless franchise, the Buccaneers aren’t so lucky – they get to travel to Seattle.
If you’re a fan of offensive shootouts, you’re going to want to check in on the Chargers and Redskins. If defense is more your speed, the Ravens and Browns are a 4:25 EST start. If you just want to see the best game of the week, then we’d advise you tuning in to the aforementioned Bears/Packers tilt on Monday night. Another intriguing matchup occurs Thursday, as the streaking 6-2 Bengals face a tougher-than-advertised road test at the Miami Dolphins.
We’re aiming for another 10-win predictions week in Week 9, so let’s get right to the picks.
NFL Week 9 Picks: LOCK of the Week
SEATTLE (home) over Tampa Bay (yes, it’s obvious, but what do you want? It’s a lock…)
NFL Week 9 Picks: UPSET of the Week
MIAMI (home) over Cincinnati
2013 NFL Week 9 picks and predictions
After a hot start the Dolphins have crashed back to Earth, dropping 4 straight to land at 3-4. However, 3 of those 4 losses have been by 10 or less, with 2 coming by a combined total of 5 points. The Bengals are prone to throwing up sub-par performances on the road – losses to Chicago and Cleveland and an ugly OT win at Buffalo stand out. Coming off a 40-point demolition of the Jets, this seems like the perfect time for the Bengals to experience a letdown game. Dolphins 27, Bengals 24.
The Bills have played favored road opponents tough this year, defeating the Panthers and Ravens while nearly beating the Patriots and Bengals at home. Thad Lewis remains at QB, which means the Chiefs will see a heavy dose of Fred Jackson and (possibly) C.J. Spiller. Is this the week that Jamaal Charles, Justin Houston and company lose? We just don’t see it, but it’ll be close. Chiefs 23, Bills 20.
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys:
Two of the NFL’s 4 worst pass defenses (statistically) meet up in Cowboys Stadium. The Cowboys have been maddeningly inconsistent this season, which sadly is a status the Vikings would gladly take. Outside a 3-point loss to Denver, the Cowboys have won all their home games, and whomever the Vikings put up at QB this week (can they call Daunte Culpepper?) won’t be enough. Cowboys 33, Vikings 20.
Tennessee Titans at St. Louis Rams:
The Rams looked game Monday Night against the Seahawks, but this is still a team without much in the way of offense. A returning Jake Locker for the Titans will stretch the field, and we think that means a relatively big game for Chris Johnson vs. the Rams’ 23th-ranked rush defense. Titans 26, Rams 13.
One week after getting waxed by 40 points at Cincinnati, the Jets get to return to the comforts of home… and the high-octane New Orleans Saints. On one sideline is Jets head coach Rex Ryan; on the other, his brother and Saints defensive coordinator Rob Ryan. The Jets defense can be exposed if the pass rush doesn’t get to Drew Brees, and this one will be a victory for Rob, not Rex. Saints 31, Jets 16.
San Diego Chargers at Washington Redskins:
This one ought to be all offense from the opening kickoff. The only relevant point on defense is how many wide receivers’ ACLs Brandon Meriweather will rupture during the course of play. The line is virtually even on this contest, but in a shootout we’ll give the slight nod to the home team. Redskins 34, Chargers 32.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers:
This NFC South rivalry is one of the lesser-recognized “bad blood” matchups in today’s NFL. These teams plain do not like each other, and regardless of current records, the Falcons have taken 5 of the last 6 from Carolina. This time, however, the matchup isn’t so favorable for the Falcons: their bottom-10 rush defense meets a top-10 rushing attack. Panthers 27, Falcons 23.
Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders:
Put down any fragile objects or children you may be holding, because you’re about to drop them – the Raiders are Vegas favorites to win this game. And why not? The Eagles are struggling to score, while the Raiders are fresh off a home upset of the Steelers. However, we’re reversing course on our upset pick from last week – Nick Foles should be healthy enough to go. Eagles 30, Raiders 22.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks:
Next. Seahawks 36, Buccaneers 15.
File this under “Things We Never Thought We’d Ever Say, Ever”: This was a much sexier game when Brian Hoyer was at quarterback, wasn’t it? Jason Campbell is the man now, which means that the Browns officially have the ceiling of the 2008 Redskins… 8-8. Except that Redskins team was better. Joe Flacco and the Ravens get back to .500. Ravens 22, Browns 16.
This was a marquee game right up until last season, when the Steelers fell off a bit. Then came this year, when Tom Brady officially lost every skill player around him and the Steelers – well, they fell off more than a bit. It’s a recurring theme here, but it’s really stunning that a Mike Tomlin-coached Steelers team could ever fall to 2-6. It happens here. Patriots 26, Steelers 20.
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans, Sunday Night Football:
Even though Matt Schaub is healthy enough to play, the Texans will stick with Case Keenum at quarterback against the Indianapolis Colts. You know, the same Colts who beat Peyton Manning. So yeah, go with Case Keenum. That seems wise. Colts 30, Texans 17.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, Monday Night Football:
After Week 3, this game looked monstrous – and it looked like Chicago’s to lose. The Bears were 3-0 and had just whitewashed the Steelers, while the Packers were just 1-2. Since then, Green Bay has won 4 straight while the Bears have gone 1-3, and once again it is Chicago staring up the NFC North standings at Green Bay. The Bears are familiar enough with Green Bay to take a win this season, which we expect to happen Week 17 at Soldier Field. For now… Packers 31, Bears 23.
WEEK 8 PICKS: 11-2
OVERALL 2013 NFL SEASON RECORD THRU WEEK 8: 80-40 (66.7%)
- NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9, 2013 (Editor Edition) (titansized.com)
- My Week 9 NFL Power Rankings (mikebuckamneer.wordpress.com)
- NFL Picks Week 9: Teams That Will Earn Pivotal Victories This Weekend (ridenpine.com)